
How prediction markets work
Five minutes to understand the most powerful tool for forecasting the future.
Pick a market
Browse hundreds of YES/NO markets across politics, crypto, sports, finance, and tech.
Buy YES or NO
Every share costs between 1% and 99% of its payout, matching the market's real-time probability.
Trade or hold
Sell anytime before resolution, or hold to expiry to claim full payout.
Get paid out
Winning shares pay $1.00 each, settled to your wallet within minutes of market resolution.
A quick example
Suppose "Will Bitcoin close above $200,000 by end of 2026?" trades at 42% YES — that is $0.42 per share. You buy 100 YES shares for $42.00. If Bitcoin closes above $200K, each share settles at $1.00, so you receive $100.00 — a $58.00 profit. If it doesn't, your shares expire worthless.
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Real liquidity
Deep order books and automated market makers.